Trump-Kamala Poll Lays Out Race

A first major poll since Biden dropped out and Kamala joined in has been released. Kamala is performing much better than Biden, but still falls short in a few ways. America’s News Desk says:

A new poll is now indicating that former President Trump is marginally ahead of Vice President Harris, the likely Democratic presidential nominee, in several battleground states, but the two are tied in Wisconsin.

Trump leads Harris by 5 points in Arizona (49 percent to 44 percent), 2 points in Georgia (48 percent to 46 percent), 1 point in Michigan (46 percent to 45 percent), 2 points in Pennsylvania (48 percent to 46 percent), and the two are tied at 47 percent in Wisconsin, according to the survey released by Emerson College Polling and The Hill on Thursday.

In all states except Arizona, the polling results are within the survey’s margin of error, indicating that Trump and Harris may be evenly matched in the majority of the battleground state match-ups.

Harris has significantly outperformed President Biden in polling of each of the battleground states since a comparable survey was released earlier this month.

In Georgia, she has outperformed the president by 5 points, 4 points in Arizona and Wisconsin, and 3 points in Michigan and Pennsylvania.

After obtaining Biden’s endorsement on Sunday, the vice president has already embarked on her first rally since Biden’s departure, which took place in Milwaukee on Tuesday.

Shapiro received the highest level of support from Democratic voters within his respective state, with 57% of all the floated vice presidential contenders, including Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.), Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro (D), and Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (D), proposing him as Harris’s running mate.

Kelly was supported by 42% of Democratic voters in Arizona, while Whitmer was supported by 36% of Democratic voters in Michigan.

The respondents were surveyed by Emerson College Polling/The Hill from July 22-23. In Arizona, Georgia, and Michigan, it surveyed 800 respondents each, with a margin of error of 3.4 percentage points in each location.

In Pennsylvania, 850 respondents were surveyed with a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points, and in Wisconsin, 845 respondents were surveyed with a margin of error of 3.3 percentage points.

Both candidates could easily win or lose this election, so it will be much tougher than previously thought. While Kamala does get support from hardcore liberals, she is very unpopular with the independent voter.